After 14 years of civil war, the regime of former Syrian president Bashar Al-Assad has collapsed. While the global expert community examines the implications for international politics and security dynamics, the impacts on some adjacent regions remain underexplored.

The South Caucasus, located at the crossroads of the Middle East and Eurasia—and connecting these two regions—possesses significant transit potential. Consequently, upheavals in the Middle East inevitably have a ripple effect on the South Caucasus. Given the active involvement of three traditional...